Disclaimer: All rants have minimal editing and a general disregard for flow
An interesting analogy can be made between the Wizard of Oz and the presidential candidates. The Tin Man without a heart represents Hillary Clinton and the Scarecrow without a brain represents Trump. The analogy isn’t perfect, but most of the media and much of the public believes it. Democrats might even admit she is corrupt and unpersonable, but they think she is knowledgeable and intelligent. Clinton has primarily chosen to attack Trump on his personality, instead of policy. She portrays Trump as a racist, sexist and a xenophobe. Clinton’s strategy has two main problems:
- Her attacks are not viewed as credible by undecided voters
- Trump is skilled at defending against personal attacks
Clinton is one of the most disliked politicians in the modern error. She lacks charisma and is not capable of connecting to voters. Not to mention, her favorability ratings are dreadful. Clinton frequently attacks Trump for his personality, but the attacks do not stick because no one likes Clinton. Voters do not view the Secretary as a credible judge of character. For example, the public would take notice if Martin Luther King Jr. called Trump a racist. MLK Jr. is well respected by the public and is respected for his moral beliefs. If he was alive today and attack Trump’s personality that could have a powerful effect. Hillary does not have the same credibility, so personal attacks are a foolish strategy.
Additionally, Trump is best at fending off personal attacks. He successfully defended against person attacks throughout the whole Republican primary. Trump can counter punch and he can defend attacks using humor. He famously defused an attack from Megan Kelly in the first debate using humor. The video of this is below.
Disclaimer: All rants have minimal editing and a general disregard for flow
Mark my words, Pennsylvania is the only state that will decide this election. The special nature of this election has flipped demographics upside down. In this Presidential election, Trump will do better with white blue collar middle class Americans. In particular, independents that fit into this group will break Trump’s way. Florida and Ohio are typically swing states, but Trump is already running well above Hillary in those states. The strong senate campaigns of Rubio and Portman will solidify Trump’s win in those states.
Winning Ohio and Florida typically ensures the election, but this is not the case this presidential election. Trump still needs to win one more populous swing state to beat Hillary Clinton. Pennsylvania, the state that will tip the election, is his only real chance. PA has leaned Democratic in presidential elections for many years and urban Philadelphia is reliably blue. Trump can appeal to blue collar workers throughout rural PA that feel left behind by the Obama economy. Usually Pennsylvania is a swing state that has a slight left leaning but in this election it may truly reflect the national average. The Senate race in PA between McGinty and Toomey confirms that Pennsylvania is the most vital swing state this election. In an average of the latest polls McGinty holds a 0.2% advantage and that makes this senate race the closest in the country. The next president will win Pennsylvania because that is the only viable pathway for both candidates.
Before I start let me be clear, I’m not writing this to defend Gary Johnson in anyway. I am simply making the case as to why someone who holds liberty and freedom as primary values should not be able to support Donald trump in good conscious. Believe it or not there is actually a decent amount of libertarians who are supporting trump this election cycle. Now before I get to specific policies I want to examine trumps message as a whole and why libertarians would be betraying some of their core values in voting for him. Libertarians who support trump tend to rationalize their decision by pointing to, and picking out specific policy positions on which they agree with him, and he does in fact have a decent amount in common with the libertarian party. There are also many disagreements libertarians have with him (I’ll get to those later), but specific policy is not the biggest reason why you should vote for or against him (or anyone). The most important determinant in voting for someone as a libertarian should be whether or not they hold liberty and freedom as primary values, as fundamental virtues. I can tell you with absolute certainty that Donald Trump does not give any craps about those two virtues. Donald Trump DOES NOT care about liberty he cares about safety. Donald trump DOES NOT care about freedom he cares about security (a false sense of it at that). One of my favorite quotes of all time comes from Ben Franklin and is: “Those who would give up essential liberty to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety.” This quote perfectly represents both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. You can talk about how Trump’s *current* policies may be more libertarian or may protect our liberties slightly more than Hillary’s, but that does not change the fact that he does not care about our liberty and in some aspects may be even more authoritarian than Hillary Clinton.
Now to those who agree with every single point I just presented, yet will still (reluctantly) vote for trump. This position is at least defendable and can be sympathized with, but I still urge you to make another choice. First I’d like to point out that we have no idea if he really would be better than Hillary considering he was a democrat like… yesterday. We don’t know because the policy positions he held yesterday are not the same as todays and will change again tomorrow. The most important reason why you can’t make this decision though is the authoritarian tendencies he has and could have when in office. If you vote for him you will in part will be responsible for some of the authoritarian things he might do while in office, because when you vote for someone, for an office with that kind of power, you put your name with their name, and whether you like it or not you are in some way attached to their horrible actions.
Now for the fun part, here are just some of the policies where Donald Trump is completely contradictory to libertarians on :
While Donald Trump has claimed before to be for free trade it has become evident that this is very, very untrue. His comments and specific policies on trade are as far left as they come, and I’m not talking about him not agreeing with the TPP or NAFTA. He has talked about putting tariffs on goods coming in from china and other countries to “punish” them and made various other comments that are staunchly protectionist and anti-free trade.
- The Drug War
While supporting at least legalizing medical marijuana The Donald is still very in favor of the drug war. This is in direct contrast with libertarians, and the drug war has failed tremendously as we all know.
- PROGRESSIVE TAX
While he would lower some of the tax brackets and eliminate certain taxes the Donald will likely not greatly affect how much the government steals from you every april. He will continue a progressive income tax and not do anything about the IRS.
His budget and spending proposals make his tax plan look beautiful. Not only does he not propose spending cuts, he will increase spending in many ways. Trump does understand that one of the reasons for cutting taxes is so the government will have less of a budget to get involved in illegal wars with and create new agencies with. The federal government will be just as big and bureaucratic under a trump presidency as it would be under a Clinton presidency (probably not as evil but still).
- The Patriot act and Edward Snowden
Trump is a strong supporter of the patriot act, which is a clear infringement on our 4th amendment rights. He supports the NSA’s right to spy on every single one of us day and night. He also think Edward snowden is a traitor for exposing this hideous crime and infringement on our natural born rights, and liberties.
I could list a lot more but you get the point. He is NOT a libertarian. He does NOT give a damn about freedom. He maybe better than Hillary but that does not mean you should put your vote or support behind someone who might. Literally. Be a fascist.
By Alexander McVeigh
My Presidential Election predictions
Above I have a link to my predicted electoral map. I have Trump winning 296-242. Trump has the ability to shape what the media covers which is a huge and underrated advantage. Typically people think advertisements sway elections, but earned media has a far greater pull. Additionally, people make decisions emotionally not analytically. Gut instinct trumps political substance every time. This great video by Stossel explains why style beats substance. Clinton she will come off poor throughout the election and in the debates because she is unlikable and untrustworthy. Subconsciously, people will be less likely to vote for Clinton, because they do not trust her.